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Federal prohibition on men in women's sports enacted by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Education or federal legislation documents
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Trump to Stop Transgender Lunacy, Recognize Only Two Genders with Executive Orders on First Day
Dec 23, 2024, 04:43 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to implement policies on his first day in office aimed at reversing current transgender rights. He stated that under his administration, the official policy of the United States government will recognize only two genders: male and female. Trump emphasized his intention to sign executive orders to 'stop the transgender lunacy,' which includes removing transgender individuals from the military and educational institutions, as well as prohibiting men from participating in women's sports. These declarations reflect a broader Republican agenda against LGBTQ rights, coinciding with their control over both chambers of Congress and the presidency.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ban Transgender Athletes • 25%
Support Transgender Athletes • 25%
No Change in Law • 25%
Other • 25%
International Olympic Committee • 25%
World Athletics • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other sports governing body • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Stricter eligibility rules • 25%
More inclusive eligibility rules • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
