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How many legal challenges will be filed against Trump's gender policy by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No Challenges • 25%
1-5 Challenges • 25%
6-10 Challenges • 25%
More than 10 Challenges • 25%
Court records and credible news reports
Story
Trump to Recognize Only Two Genders, Remove Transgender from Military and Schools
Dec 23, 2024, 07:39 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that under his administration, "it will be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female." Speaking at an event in Arizona, Trump pledged to "stop the transgender lunacy" on his first day in office. He stated he would sign executive orders on day one to end practices he referred to as "child sexual mutilation," remove transgender individuals from the military, and eliminate transgender presence from elementary, middle, and high schools. Trump also emphasized plans to prevent men from participating in women's sports. His remarks indicate a significant policy shift regarding transgender rights and LGBTQ+ issues in the United States.
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No Challenges • 25%
1-2 Challenges • 25%
3-5 Challenges • 25%
More than 5 Challenges • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Partially overturned • 25%
Fully overturned • 25%
Pending • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
No challenges • 25%
One challenge • 25%
Two to five challenges • 25%
More than five challenges • 25%
Policy upheld • 25%
Policy overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Challenge unresolved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
