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Market
Who will win the next presidential debate in 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Joe Biden • 50%
Donald Trump • 50%
Major post-debate polls and surveys
Story
Biden Criticized, Trump Gains Ground in First 2024 Presidential Debate, Raises $8M at Virginia Rally
Jun 28, 2024, 11:04 PM
The first presidential debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump has sparked significant reactions and concerns. Biden's performance was widely criticized, with the New York Times editorial board calling for him to suspend his campaign. In contrast, Trump was seen as confident, even though he refused to answer some questions and repeated several lies. Post-debate, Trump raised $8 million while Biden's campaign out-raised him with $14 million. Betting sites have noted an increase in Trump's odds of winning the 2024 election, while Biden's odds have decreased. The debate also impacted financial markets, with notable movements in the S&P, oil, and metals markets. Viewer polls, including a CNN survey, showed 67% of voters favored Trump, while only 33% supported Biden. The debate drew 51.3 million TV viewers, a significant drop from 2020. Trump took a victory lap at a Virginia rally, and Hillary Clinton maintained her support for Biden. Vice President Kamala Harris dodged questions about Biden's performance.
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Kamala Harris • 33%
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Donald Trump • 33%
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Donald Trump • 33%
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Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic nominee • 25%
Republican nominee • 25%
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Independent Candidate • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Third-Party Candidate • 17%
Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley wins • 25%
No clear winner by end of day • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump wins the election • 25%
Joe Biden wins the election • 25%
Kamala Harris wins the election • 25%
Nikki Haley wins the election • 25%
No Winner Declared by Deadline • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
Harris wins • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Tie/No Clear Winner • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Biden wins • 25%
RFK Jr. wins • 25%
Other wins • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Debate canceled • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Democratic nominee wins • 25%
Draw • 25%
No debate • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Tie • 25%
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