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Who will be the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Other • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other (Third-party candidate) • 25%
No clear winner by November 5 • 25%
Official election results published by the U.S. Federal Election Commission
Story
Harris, Trump Tied at 48% in Key Swing States; Trump Leads by 1% and Polling 5.5 Points Higher
Oct 26, 2024, 02:39 PM
Recent polling data indicates a competitive landscape for the upcoming 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, with Kamala Harris and Donald Trump statistically tied among likely voters in seven key swing states, according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. Both candidates are reported to have garnered 48% of the vote in the latest New York Times/Siena poll, with Trump leading by 1% when factoring in third-party candidates. Notably, Trump appears to be polling 5.5 points higher than he did against Hillary Clinton in the previous election cycle, suggesting a potential shift in voter sentiment as the election approaches.
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