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What will be the outcome of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
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Kamala Harris•Donald Trump•Pennsylvania•Arizona•Georgia•Michigan•Nevada•North Carolina•Wisconsin•Emerson College•Trump•Harris
Resolution / Starting Odds
Joe Biden wins • 25%
Another Democrat wins • 25%
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Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
No clear winner by Nov 6 • 25%
Official election results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or major news outlets
Story
Trump and Harris Deadlocked Ahead of November 5 Election
Nov 4, 2024, 02:12 PM
With less than a day before the November 5 Election Day, the 2024 U.S. Presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remains exceptionally close. Recent polls indicate a dead heat in key battleground states, including Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. According to Emerson College's final polls, Trump leads in Arizona by 2.1 points and in Georgia by 0.5 points, while Harris holds a 1.6-point advantage in Michigan. In Pennsylvania, Trump leads by 0.7 points, emphasizing the critical role these states will play in determining the election outcome. The final ABC News/Ipsos poll places Harris with a narrow three-point lead among likely voters nationwide. Both candidates are intensifying their campaigns, holding rallies in crucial states like Arizona and Nevada, and focusing on voter turnout. The tight margins underscore the importance of every vote as the campaigns make their final push.
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Donald Trump • 25%
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Donald Trump wins • 25%
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Joe Biden wins • 20%
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Ron DeSantis • 25%
Cornel West • 25%
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz • 25%
Donald Trump and Running Mate • 25%
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Kamala Harris & Tim Walz • 25%
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Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
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No Winner Declared • 25%
Donald Trump/JD Vance • 25%
Joe Biden/Kamala Harris • 25%
Other GOP Ticket • 25%
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No clear winner by November 5 • 25%
No winner declared by December 2024 • 25%
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No winner declared • 25%
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Kamala Harris • 33%
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Other • 34%
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Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
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Trump wins over 270 • 25%
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Democratic Nominee • 33%
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Nikki Haley wins • 25%
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Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump wins the election • 25%
Joe Biden wins the election • 25%
Kamala Harris wins the election • 25%
Nikki Haley wins the election • 25%
No Winner Declared by Deadline • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
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Third-party candidate • 25%
Harris wins • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
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Tie/No Clear Winner • 25%
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RFK Jr. wins • 25%
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Kamala Harris wins • 25%
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Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Trump wins 312 or more electoral votes • 25%
Trump wins less than 312 electoral votes • 25%
Harris wins 270 or more electoral votes • 25%
No candidate wins 270 electoral votes • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Clear Winner by Year-End • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 33%
Republican Candidate • 33%
Third-Party Candidate • 33%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%