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Who will be identified as the source behind the GPS disruptions in Israel and Lebanon by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah • 25%
Iran • 25%
Unknown/Unidentified • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigations, reports from major news outlets, statements from involved parties
Story
Widespread GPS Disruptions in Israel and Lebanon Amid Missile Interception Near Eilat
Jul 30, 2024, 08:37 PM
Widespread GPS disruptions are being reported across Israel and Lebanon, affecting areas from Eilat to Haifa. The disruptions are occurring amid heightened tensions, with speculations that Israel is preparing for a potential response from Hezbollah. Additionally, a ballistic missile launched from Iraq was intercepted by Israeli forces near the city of Eilat. This series of events has raised concerns about a possible coordinated attack, similar to the GPS interference observed prior to an Iranian attack in April. An IDF military radio correspondent confirmed the widespread GPS disruptions in Israel.
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Hamas • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal U.S. government source • 25%
External hacker group • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Houthi Rebels • 25%
Iran • 25%
Another Yemeni Faction • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Iranian-backed militias • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
A foreign government • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic Group • 25%
Foreign Group • 25%
No Party Identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Individual acting alone • 25%
Organized crime group • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Iranian-backed Militias • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iranian Government • 25%
US Government • 25%
UN Mission • 25%
Other • 25%