Loading...
Market
Who will be identified as responsible for the Tel Aviv suicide drone explosion by October 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Iranian-backed militias • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from major news agencies or official statements from the Israeli government
Story
Suicide Drone Explosion in Tel Aviv, No Sirens Activated, Hezbollah Suspected
Jul 19, 2024, 12:41 AM
An explosion occurred in Tel Aviv, with initial evidence suggesting it was caused by a suicide drone, possibly launched by Hezbollah from Southern Lebanon. The explosion took place in the Ben Yehuda area, causing damage to several nearby residential buildings. Emergency responders were mobilized to the scene. Images and footage from the site show what appears to be parts of a drone, including a wing. Notably, no sirens were activated before the explosion. If confirmed, this drone attack could prompt the Israeli Air Force (IAF) to conduct strikes in Beirut in response.
View original story
Similar markets
Hamas • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Iranian-backed Militias • 25%
Other • 25%
Iranian-made • 25%
Chinese-made • 25%
Locally-made • 25%
Other • 25%
Individual acting alone • 25%
Organized crime group • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthi Rebels • 25%
Iran • 25%
Another Yemeni Faction • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic Group • 25%
Foreign Group • 25%
No Party Identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Islamic Resistance in Iraq • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other non-state actors • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Islamic Resistance in Iraq • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Iraq • 25%
Iran • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthis • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%