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Market
Who will be identified as responsible for the Cybertruck explosion by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Domestic Terror Group • 25%
International Terror Group • 25%
Lone Wolf • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Official investigation reports or law enforcement announcements
Story
Elon Musk: Bomb Caused Deadly Cybertruck Explosion at Trump Hotel; Authorities Investigate Terrorism
Jan 1, 2025, 10:21 PM
Elon Musk confirmed that the explosion involving a rented Tesla Cybertruck outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas was caused by very large fireworks and/or a bomb carried in the bed of the vehicle. The vehicle was rented from the Turo rental app. Musk stated that the incident was unrelated to the vehicle itself, with all vehicle telemetry reporting positive at the time of the explosion. Authorities are investigating the explosion, which resulted in the death of one person, as an act of terrorism.
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Known Terrorist Group • 25%
No Group Identified • 25%
Unidentified Group • 25%
Lone Actor • 25%
Accomplices • 25%
No one • 25%
Other • 25%
Matthew Livelsberger • 25%
Other • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
Individual perpetrator • 25%
Terrorist organization • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified as an individual • 25%
Identified as a terrorist group • 25%
Suicide due to PTSD • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Terrorist intent • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
External interference • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
Other • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
External sabotage • 25%
Yes, accomplice identified • 25%
No, acted alone • 25%
Yes, multiple accomplices • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Human error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%