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Who will be identified as responsible for Ali Mohamed Kibao's abduction and murder by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Government-affiliated group • 25%
Independent criminal organization • 25%
Political rival group • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Official statements from Tanzanian law enforcement agencies or government announcements
Story
Abducted Tanzanian Opposition Figure Found Dead with Signs of Beating and Acid Attack
Sep 9, 2024, 08:40 AM
The body of Ali Mohamed Kibao, a senior Tanzanian opposition figure who was abducted by armed men, has been found on the outskirts of the commercial capital Dar es Salaam. Postmortem results revealed that Kibao was brutally beaten and had acid poured on his face, according to Chadema party lawyers present during the examination. Kibao, affiliated with the opposition party Chadema, was taken from a bus prior to his death. His abduction and subsequent murder have raised serious concerns about political violence in Tanzania.
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Local criminal gangs • 25%
Political rivals • 25%
Government officials • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Suspects identified and arrested • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Investigation closed with no arrests • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspect arrested • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Case closed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launch of formal investigation • 25%
Public condemnation without action • 25%
Arrest of suspects • 25%
Other • 25%
Al-Shabaab • 25%
Other terrorist group • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Rival gang leader • 25%
Internal gang conflict • 25%
Unknown third party • 25%
No mastermind identified • 25%
Perpetrators identified and prosecuted • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not prosecuted • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No official outcome released • 25%
