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Which region will have the most Ukrainian POWs returned in the next exchange in 2025?
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Russia•Ukraine•United Arab Emirates•Belarus•Mariupol•Azovstal steelworks•Kharkiv•Donetsk•Zaporizhzhia•Kherson•Ukrainian•Russian•Volodymyr Zelensky
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mariupol • 25%
Kharkiv • 25%
Donetsk • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Ukrainian government or international news agencies
Story
Russia and Ukraine Exchange 25 POWs Each, Including Azovstal Defenders, in UAE-Mediated Swap
Jan 15, 2025, 01:24 PM
Russia and Ukraine have conducted the first prisoner exchange of 2025, each side releasing 25 prisoners of war, according to statements from both countries' defense ministries. The exchange, mediated by the United Arab Emirates, took place on the territory of Belarus. Among those returning to Ukraine are military personnel and civilians, including defenders from Mariupol and the Azovstal steelworks, as well as individuals from the Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions. Many of the Ukrainian returnees are reported to have serious injuries and illnesses, including amputations, gunshot wounds, tuberculosis, cancer, and gangrene. The Russian soldiers are currently in Belarus receiving medical care before being transported to Russia for further treatment and rehabilitation. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed commitment to bringing all Ukrainians home, stating that Ukraine will not stop until all its people are returned.
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Includes none of the above • 25%
Includes Kharkiv region • 25%
Includes Kyiv region • 25%
Includes Mariupol defenders • 25%
Other • 25%
Donetsk • 25%
Zaporizhzhia • 25%
Luhansk • 25%
Belarus • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Azovstal defenders • 25%
Mariupol defenders • 25%
Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant personnel • 25%
Other units • 25%
More than 50 prisoners exchanged • 25%
No exchange • 25%
Less than 25 prisoners exchanged • 25%
25-50 prisoners exchanged • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful exchange • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations fail • 25%
Exactly 25 each • 25%
More than 25 each • 25%
No exchange by deadline • 25%
Less than 25 each • 25%
300 or more each side • 25%
Less than 100 each side • 25%
100-199 each side • 25%
200-299 each side • 25%
Luhansk • 25%
Kherson • 25%
Donetsk • 25%
Zaporizhzhia • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
200 to 299 • 25%
300 or more • 25%
100 to 199 • 25%