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Which political faction will be dominant in Syria by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Current ruling faction • 25%
Pro-Assad elements • 25%
Opposition groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international political analysts or organizations monitoring Syria
Story
Iran Confirms No Direct Links with Syria's New Government After Assad's Fall
Dec 23, 2024, 08:58 AM
Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei announced that Tehran currently has no direct contact with Syria's new ruling faction following the fall of President Bashar al-Assad's regime 15 days ago. While Iran had previous communications with various armed opposition groups, including through the Syrian Constitutional Committee, Baghaei emphasized that direct links with the current administration have not been established. He reiterated Iran's support for Syria's sovereignty and expressed concerns over the country potentially becoming a refuge for terrorist groups.
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Pro-Russian factions • 25%
Pro-Western factions • 25%
Islamist groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Pro-Iranian parties • 25%
Pro-Western parties • 25%
Neutral parties • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
Free Syrian Army • 25%
HTS • 25%
None join by this date • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Joint Government-Rebel Coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Opposition • 25%
Assad Loyalists • 25%
ISIS or Similar Groups • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Pro-Western • 25%
Pro-Iranian • 25%
Pro-Russian • 25%
Neutral/Other • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
New Syrian Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
No clear dominant power • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Bashar al-Assad • 25%
Syrian Opposition Leader • 25%
Military Junta • 25%
Other • 25%
HTS • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Bashar al-Assad's Government • 25%
A New Inclusive Government • 25%
A UN Transitional Authority • 25%
Other • 25%