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Market
Which party will form the next German government after February 23, 2025 election?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
SPD-led coalition • 25%
CDU-led coalition • 25%
Green-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
Official announcements from the German government or credible news sources regarding the coalition formation.
Story
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz Likely to Lose Confidence Vote Today, Early Elections Set for February
Dec 16, 2024, 11:10 AM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is facing a confidence vote in the Bundestag today at 1 PM, following the collapse of his coalition government. The confidence vote is expected to result in Scholz losing parliamentary support, paving the way for early elections on February 23. Scholz is calling the vote to make way for new elections after his coalition fell apart. The Greens have indicated they will abstain, and there are concerns that the far-right AfD could vote in a way that complicates the process. The Social Democratic Party (SPD), led by Scholz, has been losing popularity ahead of the anticipated elections.
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