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Which key stakeholder will support OpenAI's restructuring by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sam Altman • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other major investor • 25%
Public endorsements or statements from stakeholders
Story
OpenAI Plans Delaware Public Benefit Corporation Restructuring to Separate For-Profit and Nonprofit Operations Amid Elon Musk Opposition
Dec 27, 2024, 01:03 PM
OpenAI's Board of Directors is currently evaluating the organization's corporate structure with the aim of establishing a more robust nonprofit entity supported by the success of its for-profit operations. The proposed restructuring would involve creating a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) that could facilitate increased capital raising. This shift marks a significant transition from OpenAI's origins as a nonprofit research organization founded a decade ago. The plan, however, has encountered opposition from notable figures, including Elon Musk. The Board's initiative seeks to better align OpenAI's mission of ensuring that artificial general intelligence (AGI) benefits humanity with its operational framework.
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Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Remains a non-profit • 25%
Delaware Public Benefit Corporation • 25%
Traditional for-profit corporation • 25%
Other restructuring • 25%
Restructures differently • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Abandons restructuring • 25%
Successfully restructures as PBC • 25%
Meta Platforms • 25%
Other entities • 25%
California's Attorney General • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Government Regulators • 25%
Other • 25%
Investors • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Other structural change • 25%
Hybrid model • 25%
Fully transitions to for-profit • 25%
Remains non-profit • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Addition of financial experts • 25%
Addition of new tech leaders • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Nonprofit arm restructured • 25%
Nonprofit arm dissolved • 25%
Nonprofit arm remains unchanged • 25%
Nonprofit arm expanded • 25%
Other • 25%
Sam Altman • 25%
New CEO • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Decreased nonprofit funding • 25%
No change in funding • 25%
Nonprofit initiatives halted • 25%
Increased nonprofit funding • 25%