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Who will be the main source of opposition to OpenAI's PBC restructuring by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Elon Musk • 25%
Government Regulators • 25%
Investors • 25%
Other • 25%
Public statements, news articles, or official opposition documents
Story
OpenAI to Transform For-Profit Arm into PBC, Says It Needs 'More Capital Than We'd Imagined'
Dec 27, 2024, 02:45 PM
OpenAI, the AI research organization, has announced plans to restructure its corporate organization to better support its mission of ensuring that artificial general intelligence (AGI) benefits all of humanity. The company plans to transform its existing for-profit arm into a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation (PBC) with ordinary shares of stock, stating it needs 'more capital than we'd imagined' to advance its work. This move aims to enable OpenAI to raise capital under more conventional terms, as investors prefer traditional equity structures. The restructuring will allow OpenAI to raise the necessary funds while maintaining its commitment to its core mission. The non-profit component of OpenAI will continue to exist and hold shares in the new PBC. The plan faces opposition from Elon Musk and others.
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Financial concerns • 25%
Regulatory issues • 25%
Leadership disagreements • 25%
Mission alignment concerns • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Sam Altman • 25%
Other major investor • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Regulatory advantages • 25%
Other • 25%
Balancing profit with public benefit • 25%
Access to more capital • 25%
Meta Platforms • 25%
Elon Musk • 25%
Other entities • 25%
California's Attorney General • 25%
Delaware Public Benefit Corporation • 25%
Remains a non-profit • 25%
Other restructuring • 25%
Traditional for-profit corporation • 25%
Abandons restructuring • 25%
Successfully restructures as PBC • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Restructures differently • 25%