Loading...
Market
Which country's TPS holders will Trump target first in 2025?
2
Biden•Temporary Protected Status•Venezuelans•Salvadorans•Ukraine•Sudan•United States•Department of Homeland Security•Nicolás Maduro•Venezuela•El Salvador•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Venezuela • 25%
El Salvador • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Sudan • 25%
Official announcements or actions from the Department of Homeland Security
Story
Biden Extends TPS for 600,000 Venezuelans, 200,000 Salvadorans Before Trump Takes Office
Jan 10, 2025, 07:45 PM
In one of its final acts on immigration policy, the Biden administration has extended Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for approximately 600,000 Venezuelans, over 200,000 Salvadorans, as well as nationals from Ukraine and Sudan residing in the United States. The Department of Homeland Security announced the 18-month extension, which will allow Venezuelans to legally remain in the country until at least October 2026 and Salvadorans until September 9, 2026. The TPS extension comes amid ongoing political and humanitarian crises, including Nicolás Maduro's inauguration in Venezuela and environmental conditions in El Salvador that prevent individuals from safely returning. The move provides relief to nearly one million immigrants just days before President-elect Donald Trump takes office vowing mass deportations, putting these protections at risk under the incoming administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Extended further • 25%
No changes • 25%
Revoked for some countries • 25%
Revoked for all countries • 25%
No further extensions • 25%
Further extension for both • 25%
Extension for Salvadorans only • 25%
Extension for Venezuelans only • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved conditions in home countries • 25%
Domestic political pressure • 25%
International diplomatic considerations • 25%
Other • 25%
TPS revocation blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
TPS revocation upheld • 25%
No Deportations Initiated • 25%
Non-criminal Migrants • 25%
Mixed Focus • 25%
Criminal Migrants • 25%
Recent arrivals • 25%
Other • 25%
Criminal convictions • 25%
Family units • 25%
Sanctuary Cities • 25%
Visa Regulations • 25%
Deportation Procedures • 25%
Border Security • 25%
North Korea • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%