Loading...
Market
What will be the status of TPS policy under Trump administration by end of 2025?
2
Joe Biden•Temporary Protected Status•Venezuelans•Salvadorans•Sudan•Ukraine•United States•Department of Homeland Security•Nicolás Maduro•Homeland Security•Alejandro Mayorkas•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Revoked for all countries • 25%
Revoked for some countries • 25%
No changes • 25%
Extended further • 25%
Official announcements from the Department of Homeland Security or White House press releases
Story
Biden Extends TPS for 800,000 Immigrants Including Venezuelans and Salvadorans Before Trump Takes Office
Jan 10, 2025, 06:00 PM
President Joe Biden's administration has extended Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for approximately 600,000 Venezuelans, over 200,000 Salvadorans, as well as immigrants from Sudan and Ukraine residing in the United States for an additional 18 months, the Department of Homeland Security announced on Friday. The TPS for Venezuelans is extended until October 2, 2026, following concerns over the inauguration of Nicolás Maduro and ongoing political and humanitarian crises. TPS for Salvadorans is extended from March 10, 2025, to September 9, 2026, due to environmental conditions that prevent safe return. The extensions, announced by Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, allow eligible individuals to legally remain and work in the U.S. This decision affects a total of 800,000 immigrants and comes just days before President-elect Donald Trump is set to take office, having pledged mass deportations that could put these protections at risk.
View original story
Similar markets
Revoke TPS for all • 25%
Introduce new TPS criteria • 25%
No new policy • 25%
Extend TPS for some • 25%
Terminate DACA • 25%
Introduce new immigration policy • 25%
Maintain DACA • 25%
Modify DACA • 25%
Extension for Venezuelans only • 25%
Further extension for both • 25%
Extension for Salvadorans only • 25%
No further extensions • 25%
Sudan • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Venezuela • 25%
El Salvador • 25%
Yes, from other TPS holders • 25%
Yes, from Salvadorans • 25%
Yes, from Venezuelans • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Policies reversed by courts • 25%
Major changes enacted • 25%
Minor changes enacted • 25%
No changes enacted • 25%
Status unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Granted permanent residency • 25%
Deported • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Partially implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%