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Where will the next major virus leak incident occur due to lab safety concerns by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
China • 25%
USA • 25%
Europe • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports and news sources
Story
FBI Investigates WIV: Chinese Lab Linked to COVID-19 Leak May Have Released Polio Strain in 2014
Sep 6, 2024, 03:40 AM
A new study from France's Pasteur Institute suggests that a Chinese laboratory, previously linked to the COVID-19 leak, may have also released a highly evolved strain of polio in 2014. The study indicates that the polio strain could have derived from a laboratory strain originating from Saukett A, which might have been modified by mutagenesis or by passage in conditions leading to mutations in the capsid, such as the presence of neutralizing antibodies. The FBI has also been involved in investigating the lab, known as WIV. This revelation, reported by the Daily Mail, adds to concerns about lab safety and the potential for future virus leaks.
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Similar markets
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
High concern • 25%
Moderate concern • 25%
Low concern • 25%
No concern • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Wuhan Market Animals • 25%
Laboratory Origin • 25%
Other Natural Source • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Increased trust in health institutions • 25%
Decreased trust in health institutions • 25%
No significant change in trust • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Human error identified • 25%
Security breach • 25%
Procedural lapse • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Biosecurity breaches • 25%
Wild animal transmission • 25%
Inadequate farm protocols • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lab Leak • 25%
Natural Origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public outcry • 25%
General concern • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Support for lab • 25%