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What will Ukraine's conscription age policy be by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lowered to 18 • 25%
Lowered to 19 • 25%
No Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement from the Ukrainian government or reputable news sources
Story
Trump Adviser Mike Waltz Urges Ukraine to Lower Mobilization Age to 18, Citing Manpower Issues and Military Aid Conditions
Jan 12, 2025, 04:06 PM
Mike Waltz, national security adviser to former President Donald Trump, has suggested that Ukraine should lower its conscription age to 18 years. Waltz highlighted that Kyiv is facing serious manpower issues, as its current draft age is not even 18. He stated, "If Ukrainians are calling on the whole world to support democracy 'all-in', then they should act accordingly." This statement reflects a broader discussion regarding Ukraine's military preparedness and the potential conditions for continued military aid from the U.S. The former foreign minister of Ukraine, Dmytro Kuleba, indicated that any reduction in the mobilization age would likely be by only 1-2 years, rather than a full drop to 18. The situation underscores the ongoing challenges Ukraine faces in stabilizing its front lines amid the conflict with Russia.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Raised above current level • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Lowered to 18 • 25%
26 years or older • 25%
21-25 years • 25%
19-20 years • 25%
18 years • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Lowered to 18 • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Increased • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Conscription age lowered • 25%
Conscription age unchanged • 25%
Conscription age increased • 25%
Recruit women • 25%
No change • 25%
Lower draft age • 25%
Recruit refugees • 25%