Loading...
Market
What will the FBI attribute the initial failure to identify suspects in the New Orleans bombing to by August 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical error in surveillance footage analysis • 25%
Human error in investigation • 25%
Deliberate misinformation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports or statements from the FBI or oversight bodies
Story
FBI Clears Three Men and One Woman in New Orleans Bombing Investigation Involving Improvised Explosive Devices
Jan 1, 2025, 10:34 PM
Federal investigators have cleared four individuals seen in surveillance footage from the French Quarter of New Orleans, initially suspected of placing improvised explosive devices (IEDs) during a recent attack. The FBI stated that these individuals, comprising three men and one woman, are not linked to the incident. This determination follows a review of video evidence that led authorities to initially believe the suspects may not have acted alone. Law enforcement officials have characterized the situation as a misunderstanding, confirming that the individuals in question did not plant the devices. The investigation into the origins of the explosives continues.
View original story
Similar markets
Partial apprehension of suspects • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No suspects apprehended • 25%
All suspects apprehended and charged • 25%
Domestic Terrorism • 25%
Lone Wolf Attack • 25%
ISIS Connection • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
No explosives found • 25%
Homemade explosives • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercially available explosives • 25%
Investigation progress • 25%
Security measures • 25%
International links • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism confirmed • 25%
Terrorism not confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Domestic Group • 25%
Foreign Group • 25%
Domestic Individual(s) • 25%
Foreign Individual(s) • 25%