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Market
What will be Trump's support level among Black voters in the 2024 election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Below 20% • 25%
20%-30% • 25%
30%-40% • 25%
Above 40% • 25%
National exit polls or major survey results reported by credible news sources
Story
Trump Sees Historic Surge in Support Among Black Voters, 25% Now Back Him
May 17, 2024, 11:55 PM
CNN has reported a significant increase in support for former President Donald Trump among Black voters, particularly younger Black voters under 50. According to CNN's senior data reporter, Harry Enten, Trump's support among Black voters has risen from 8% in 2020 to 22% in 2024. This surge is described as 'truly historic' and poses a troubling sign for the Biden campaign. The data indicates that 25% of Black voters under 50 now support Trump, highlighting a specific challenge for President Joe Biden in retaining this demographic. Overall, 25% of Black voters support Trump.
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Similar markets
Less than 20% • 25%
20%-30% • 25%
30%-40% • 25%
More than 40% • 25%
Majority support for Biden • 33%
Majority support for Trump • 33%
Evenly split or other outcome • 34%
No significant impact • 33%
Moderate impact • 33%
Decisive impact • 33%
Donald Trump > Joe Biden > Other • 33%
Joe Biden > Donald Trump > Other • 33%
Other > Joe Biden > Donald Trump • 34%
Below 40% • 33%
40%-50% • 33%
Above 50% • 34%
