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What will be the US government's response to the leak by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No official response • 25%
Public condemnation • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official statements from the US government or press releases
Story
Asif William Rahman Pleads Guilty to Leaking Israeli Strike Plans on Iran, Faces Up to 20 Years
Jan 17, 2025, 08:03 PM
Asif William Rahman, a 34-year-old former CIA analyst who had been employed by the agency since 2016 and held a top-secret security clearance, pleaded guilty to leaking highly classified documents detailing Israel's military preparations for a retaliatory strike on Iran. Rahman admitted to illegally downloading, printing, and distributing the sensitive information on multiple occasions throughout 2024. The leaked documents, which surfaced on social media in October 2024, led to a delay in Israel's planned attack on Iran. Rahman faces up to 20 years in prison on two counts of willful retention and transmission of national defense information, with sentencing scheduled for May 15, 2025.
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Diplomatic actions against involved parties • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions on Chinese entities • 25%
Diplomatic protest to China • 25%
Increased cybersecurity funding • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Call for international cybersecurity summit • 25%
Condemnation of China • 25%
Other actions or statements • 25%
No official response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Attribution to Chinese hackers confirmed • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Internal security failure identified • 25%
Attribution to another nation-state actor • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Diplomatic talks with China • 25%
Legal action against BeyondTrust • 25%
Increased cybersecurity measures • 25%
Increased funding for technology • 25%
Other • 25%
No further action • 25%
Formation of a task force • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Remain silent • 25%
Issue a statement rejecting intervention • 25%
Publicly announce intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Attribution to another state actor • 25%
Attribution to non-state actor • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Attribution to Chinese APT actor • 25%
