Loading...
Market
What will be the US administration's approach to the Israel-Iran conflict by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support Israeli strikes • 25%
Advocate for ceasefire • 25%
Restrict Israeli operations • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Official statements from the US government or reports in major news outlets
Story
US Offers Israel Aid to Deter Iran Strikes Amid Distrust Over Military Plans
Oct 8, 2024, 11:11 AM
The Biden administration has reportedly offered Israel a compensation package to dissuade it from launching strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities in response to an Iranian attack last week, according to reports including Kan News. U.S. officials have expressed that while they are not opposed to Israel responding, they want any action to be measured. Simultaneously, the administration has grown increasingly distrustful of the Israeli government's communication regarding its military and diplomatic plans in the ongoing multi-front war, as reported by Barak Ravid on Axios citing four senior U.S. officials. One official noted, “Our trust of the Israelis is very low right now and for a good reason.” The Biden administration has shifted its approach from advocating for a ceasefire to attempting to limit Israel's ground and air operations.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful de-escalation • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Direct military intervention • 25%
Increased economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No impact • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Ongoing tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic tensions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Joint Military Operation • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other • 25%