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What will be Israel's military response to Iranian attacks by April 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Air strikes • 25%
Ground operations • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No response • 25%
Reports from credible news outlets or official statements from the Israeli government
Story
US Offers Israel Aid to Deter Iran Strikes Amid Distrust Over Military Plans
Oct 8, 2024, 11:11 AM
The Biden administration has reportedly offered Israel a compensation package to dissuade it from launching strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities in response to an Iranian attack last week, according to reports including Kan News. U.S. officials have expressed that while they are not opposed to Israel responding, they want any action to be measured. Simultaneously, the administration has grown increasingly distrustful of the Israeli government's communication regarding its military and diplomatic plans in the ongoing multi-front war, as reported by Barak Ravid on Axios citing four senior U.S. officials. One official noted, “Our trust of the Israelis is very low right now and for a good reason.” The Biden administration has shifted its approach from advocating for a ceasefire to attempting to limit Israel's ground and air operations.
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Limited air strikes • 25%
Full-scale military operation • 25%
Diplomatic response only • 25%
No response • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Increased Defense Posture • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
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Missile defense activation only • 25%
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Full-scale military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities • 25%
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Diplomatic protest • 25%
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No military response • 25%
Limited military response • 25%
Significant military escalation • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
Limited Airstrike • 25%
Full-scale Military Response • 25%
Diplomatic Measures Only • 25%
No Response • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No military response • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
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Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Other • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
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