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What will be the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's immunity?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full Immunity • 33%
Partial Immunity • 34%
No Immunity • 33%
U.S. Supreme Court official ruling
Story
Supreme Court to Rule Monday at 10 a.m. ET on Trump's Immunity in Jan. 6 Case
Jul 1, 2024, 11:29 AM
The U.S. Supreme Court is poised to issue a crucial ruling on Monday at 10 a.m. ET on whether former President Donald Trump is immune from prosecution for his role in the January 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol and his efforts to overturn the 2020 election. The decision, expected on the last day of the Court's term, could significantly impact Trump's legal battles and the upcoming 2024 election. A 6-3 majority ruling could potentially upend hundreds of January 6th prosecutions. The Court's decision will determine if Trump's actions were official or private, which will affect whether his federal Jan. 6 case proceeds. The ruling may also force a lower court to further examine the case before trial. Legal analysts and commentators are closely watching the outcome, with some predicting a ruling mostly against Trump's immunity claim.
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Immunity Upheld • 25%
Immunity Limited • 25%
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Ruling favors Trump • 33%
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No significant impact on case • 33%
