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What will be the Supreme Court's ruling on presidential immunity in relation to Trump's Mar-a-Lago case by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Immunity Upheld • 25%
Immunity Limited • 25%
Immunity Overturned • 25%
No Ruling • 25%
Official Supreme Court rulings and public records
Story
Judge Grants Partial Pause in Trump's Mar-a-Lago Classified Docs Case Amid SCOTUS Immunity Ruling
Jul 6, 2024, 08:12 AM
Former President Donald Trump has successfully requested a partial pause in the federal case concerning his alleged mishandling of classified documents at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida. Judge Aileen Cannon granted the motion to stay some deadlines in the case to consider the implications of the recent Supreme Court ruling on presidential immunity. Trump's legal team is leveraging the Supreme Court's decision, which suggests broad immunity for presidents from criminal prosecution related to official acts, to argue for the dismissal of the charges. They are also challenging the constitutionality of Special Counsel Jack Smith's appointment, citing Justice Thomas' concurrence in the Supreme Court ruling. The Department of Justice has been given until July 18 to respond to Trump's motion.
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Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Ruling favors Trump • 33%
Ruling favors prosecution • 33%
No significant impact on case • 33%
Charges dismissed • 25%
Charges reduced • 25%
No change in charges • 25%
New charges added • 25%
Further Expansion of Immunity • 25%
Reaffirmation of Current Ruling • 25%
Partial Rollback • 25%
Complete Rollback • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Uphold Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Overturn Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Remand for further consideration • 25%
Other • 25%
Granted • 25%
Denied • 25%
Partially Granted • 25%
Pending • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
