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What will be the impact of the Supreme Court's ruling on presidential immunity on Trump's case by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Court documents or legal analysis
Story
Judge Delays Ruling on Trump’s Hush Money Conviction Involving Stormy Daniels Amid Immunity Debate
Nov 12, 2024, 03:25 PM
A New York judge, Juan Merchan, has delayed his decision on whether to overturn President-elect Donald Trump's conviction on 34 counts of falsifying business records related to hush money payments to Stormy Daniels, a porn star. The ruling was initially expected on November 12 but has been postponed to November 19 after both the prosecution and defense agreed to pause proceedings to consider the impact of Trump's recent election victory and the Supreme Court's July ruling on presidential immunity. The sentencing, which was scheduled for November 26, has also been delayed. Some evidence in the case might be barred under the Supreme Court's decision, contributing to the ongoing debate over presidential immunity. This pause in proceedings represents a significant victory for Trump as his legal team seeks to have the conviction dismissed entirely.
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Ruling favors Trump • 33%
Ruling favors prosecution • 33%
No significant impact on case • 33%
Charges dismissed • 25%
Charges reduced • 25%
No change in charges • 25%
New charges added • 25%
Immunity Upheld • 25%
Immunity Limited • 25%
Immunity Overturned • 25%
No Ruling • 25%
No impact • 25%
Increased presidential immunity • 25%
Decreased presidential immunity • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Trial proceeds as scheduled • 25%
Trial postponed • 25%
Additional charges added • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Uphold Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Overturn Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Remand for further consideration • 25%
Other • 25%
Further Expansion of Immunity • 25%
Reaffirmation of Current Ruling • 25%
Partial Rollback • 25%
Complete Rollback • 25%
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Denied • 25%
Partially Granted • 25%
Pending • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%