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What will be the level of international involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict by the end of 2024?
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Russia•Ukraine•Ukrainian•Kursk•Russian Foreign Ministry•Maria Zakharova•Washington Post•Zakharova•Qatar
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mediation leading to peace talks • 25%
Verified reports from major news outlets and official statements from involved governments
Story
Russia Denies Reported Disruption of Ukraine Talks Amid Kursk Region Attacks
Aug 18, 2024, 01:11 PM
Russia has denied media reports suggesting that indirect talks with Ukraine were disrupted due to Ukrainian attacks on the Kursk region. The Russian Foreign Ministry, through spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, dismissed claims made in a Washington Post article, stating that no negotiations, direct or indirect, were taking place with the Ukrainian government. Zakharova emphasized that there was nothing to disrupt, as no talks were being conducted regarding the security of civilian critical infrastructure facilities. Reports had also mentioned Qatar in the context of these alleged talks.
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NATO provides only military assistance • 25%
NATO engages in direct conflict • 25%
NATO changes policy but does not engage • 25%
NATO increases sanctions • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Provide military assistance only • 25%
Engage in direct conflict • 25%
Implement no-fly zone • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
UN Intervention • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Major escalation involving NATO • 25%
Increased conflict intensity • 25%
Decreased conflict intensity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreed upon • 25%
Conflict intensifies • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
UN Peacekeeping Forces • 33%
NATO Military Intervention • 33%
No Major Intervention • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United Nations • 25%
NATO • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Russia gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%