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What will be the status of Israeli-Hamas relations by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Active conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies such as CNN, Reuters, or official statements from Israeli or Palestinian authorities
Story
CNN Report: Nearly Half of Hamas' Battalions Rebuilt Despite 9-Month Israeli Offensive
Aug 5, 2024, 08:15 PM
A recent CNN investigation reveals that nearly half of Hamas' military battalions in northern and central Gaza have rebuilt some of their fighting capabilities despite more than nine months of Israel's brutal offensive. The report indicates that only three of Hamas' 24 battalions have been destroyed by Israel's military actions. The resurgence of Hamas' forces in the battered north of the Gaza Strip has been noted, with military experts commenting on the heavy-handed bombardment by Israel. The findings, supported by analyses from the American Enterprise Institute, highlight a significant challenge to Israeli claims of imminent victory over Hamas.
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Cease-fire deal reached • 25%
Hostage-release deal reached • 25%
Both cease-fire and hostage-release deals reached • 25%
No deals reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Relations worsen • 33%
Relations improve • 33%
Relations remain same • 33%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Body returned • 33%
Prisoner exchange • 33%
No resolution • 33%
Hostage Release Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Partial agreement with conditions • 25%
Talks break down completely • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Hostages released, no ceasefire • 25%
Hostages released, ceasefire agreed • 25%
No hostages released, ongoing conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
Other • 25%