Loading...
Market
Will Hamas control more than 50% of its battalions in northern and central Gaza by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news agencies such as CNN, Reuters, or official statements from Israeli or Palestinian sources
Story
CNN Report: Nearly Half of Hamas' Battalions Rebuilt Despite 9-Month Israeli Offensive
Aug 5, 2024, 08:15 PM
A recent CNN investigation reveals that nearly half of Hamas' military battalions in northern and central Gaza have rebuilt some of their fighting capabilities despite more than nine months of Israel's brutal offensive. The report indicates that only three of Hamas' 24 battalions have been destroyed by Israel's military actions. The resurgence of Hamas' forces in the battered north of the Gaza Strip has been noted, with military experts commenting on the heavy-handed bombardment by Israel. The findings, supported by analyses from the American Enterprise Institute, highlight a significant challenge to Israeli claims of imminent victory over Hamas.
View original story
Similar markets
Hamas relinquishes power • 25%
Hamas retains power • 25%
Hamas partially relinquishes power • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yahya Sinwar remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Interim leadership • 25%
Leadership status unclear • 25%
New senior leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Gaza-based faction • 33%
Exiled leaders • 33%
Neither/Status Quo • 34%
