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Will the U.S. suspend military aid to Israel by December 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Biden Warns Israel: Improve Gaza Aid Next Week or Face Military Aid Suspension
Nov 11, 2024, 08:53 AM
The United States has issued a stern warning to Israel, demanding significant improvements in the humanitarian situation in Gaza or face a potential suspension of military aid. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin communicated this ultimatum to Israel's Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. The Biden administration has set a deadline for next week for Israel to enhance access to humanitarian aid in Gaza, with National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan emphasizing that Hamas is obstructing a ceasefire. This would be the first time Biden has enforced U.S. laws conditioning military aid. In response, Israel has expanded a humanitarian zone in southern Gaza under pressure from the U.S. administration. The decision on whether Israel has met the U.S. demands will be made this week.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Impose arms embargo • 25%
Reduce military aid • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Increase military aid • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Failure to increase aid trucks • 25%
Failure to open a new crossing • 25%
Failure to implement humanitarian pauses • 25%
Other reasons • 25%