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What will be the status of Assad's health by June 30, 2025, following the alleged poisoning?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly worsened • 25%
Improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies or official statements
Story
Ousted Syrian President Bashar al-Assad Survives Alleged Poisoning Attempt in Moscow
Jan 2, 2025, 11:47 AM
Bashar al-Assad, the ousted president of Syria who has been living in exile in Moscow under the protection of Russian President Vladimir Putin since December 8, 2024, reportedly survived an assassination attempt through poisoning. According to claims made by the Russian Telegram channel General SVR, Assad, 59, fell ill on Sunday, experiencing severe symptoms including violent coughing and choking. He sought medical help, and tests later confirmed the presence of a poisonous substance in his blood. Assad received treatment at his apartment, and his condition stabilized by Monday. The General SVR channel, which claims to be run by former and current members of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service, suggested that there was every reason to believe an assassination attempt had been made on Assad. No official confirmation or response has been issued by Russian authorities regarding these allegations.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Retires from politics • 25%
Returns to political role in Syria • 25%
Seeks political role in another country • 25%
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Still in power • 25%
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Assad is ousted • 25%
Power transition to a new government • 25%
Assad resigns • 25%
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Confirmed assassination attempt • 25%
Natural illness • 25%
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