Loading...
Market
What will be the severity of symptoms in new mpox strain clade Ib cases in China by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
All mild symptoms • 25%
Mostly mild, some severe • 25%
Mostly severe, some mild • 25%
All severe symptoms • 25%
Reports from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
Story
China Detects Five Cases of New Mpox Strain Clade Ib From Congo Traveler
Jan 9, 2025, 12:15 PM
China has detected its first outbreak of a new mutated strain of the mpox virus, identified as clade Ib. The outbreak was traced back to a foreign individual who had lived in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Chinese health authorities reported five cases in total, including the initial case and four others among close contacts, all displaying mild symptoms. The Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention stated that the outbreak has been effectively managed, with infected individuals and those at risk receiving medical treatment and being monitored. This development comes after the World Health Organization declared the mpox outbreak in Africa a global health emergency last year.
View original story
Similar markets
Mild • 25%
Moderate • 25%
Critical • 25%
Severe • 25%
More than 1000 • 25%
501 to 1000 • 25%
100 to 500 • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Environmental factors • 25%
Human-to-human transmission • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Animal-to-human transmission • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
6-10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
51 to 100 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%