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Market
What will be the scale of protests against 'Operation Safeguard' in Chicago by February 18, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant protests • 25%
Protests with 1,000 to 4,999 participants • 25%
Protests with 5,000 to 9,999 participants • 25%
Protests with 10,000 or more participants • 25%
Reports from local news outlets and police estimates
Story
Trump's 'Operation Safeguard' to Deploy 100-200 ICE Officers in Chicago for Post-Inauguration Raid
Jan 18, 2025, 03:20 AM
The incoming Trump administration is set to launch a large-scale immigration raid in Chicago starting Tuesday morning, the day after President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration. The operation, named 'Operation Safeguard,' will involve between 100 and 200 officers from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), with approximately 150 agents specifically assigned to Chicago. This initiative is part of Trump's promised mass deportation campaign and is described as the first move in what Trump aims to be the largest deportation operation in American history. The raids are expected to target undocumented immigrants, particularly those with criminal records, but may also detain others encountered during the operation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Insufficient data to determine • 25%
Majority oppose the raids • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Majority support the raids • 25%
Local protests only • 25%
Statewide protests • 25%
Nationwide protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Other forms of public response • 25%
Significant protests • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Widespread opposition • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal public attention • 25%
Modified • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Raids postponed or cancelled • 25%
Successful deportation of undocumented immigrants • 25%
Raids blocked by local authorities • 25%
Speeches • 25%
Silent March • 25%
Chants and Slogans • 25%
Artistic Displays • 25%