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What will be the resolution of TikTok's U.S. ownership structure by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. majority ownership • 25%
U.S. minority ownership • 25%
No U.S. ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or involved companies
Story
Trump to Issue Executive Order Delaying TikTok Ban, Proposes 50% U.S. Ownership
Jan 19, 2025, 04:00 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the U.S. ban on TikTok, which went into effect at midnight. TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, became inaccessible to U.S. users due to the ban. Trump is urging tech companies not to let the popular video-sharing app remain inaccessible and proposes a joint venture with current or new owners, in which the United States would hold a 50% ownership stake. The executive order would extend the period before the law's prohibitions take effect, allowing more time for a deal that addresses national security concerns. Trump assured that companies assisting TikTok would not face liability before the order is issued.
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Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
International ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Joint U.S.-Chinese ownership • 25%
Joint Ownership • 34%
Sold to U.S. Company • 33%
Remains ByteDance Owned • 33%
Other • 25%
International consortium • 25%
Remain under ByteDance • 25%
US-based company • 25%
Retained by ByteDance • 25%
Joint ownership • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. Company • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint Venture • 25%
ByteDance • 25%
Ban is lifted without sale • 25%
Ban is lifted following sale • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is indefinitely postponed • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Approved U.S. company • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. government • 25%
