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What will be the resolution of the conflict in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, Palestinian resistance groups, and major news outlets
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Thousands Rally in Tel Aviv for Ceasefire, Hostage Release, and Netanyahu's Resignation
Sep 21, 2024, 07:05 PM
Thousands of Israelis gathered in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem to demand an immediate ceasefire and a prisoner-exchange deal with Palestinian resistance. The protests, which saw hundreds of thousands on the streets, also called for the release of hostages, including Oded Lifshitz. Demonstrators expressed dissatisfaction with the Netanyahu government, demanding its resignation and an end to the war in the Gaza Strip. Israeli police dispersed some of the protests, which blocked traffic on several highways and set fires in the middle of the streets. Protests were also noted on Begin Street on Saturday night.
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Complete resolution • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict without resolution • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire in Place • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement Reached • 25%
Escalated Conflict • 25%
Military victory for Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Two-state solution agreed • 25%
One-state solution agreed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
No resolution achieved • 25%
Conflict ends, ceasefire holds • 25%
Conflict ends, ceasefire does not hold • 25%
Conflict continues, ceasefire holds • 25%
Conflict continues, ceasefire does not hold • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict with no agreement • 25%
Major escalation of conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsening conditions • 25%
Hamas leadership eliminated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%