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What will be the reason for any changes in the leadership of the Russian military involved in the Ukraine conflict by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership changes due to internal decisions • 25%
Leadership changes due to external pressure • 25%
Leadership changes for other reasons • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian government or military
Story
Russian Military Bombs Ukraine in Revenge for Attempted Trump Assassination
Jul 14, 2024, 01:59 AM
Russian military forces have intensified their bombing campaign in Ukraine, reportedly in response to an attempted assassination of former U.S. President Donald Trump. Various sources indicate that Russian soldiers are writing messages such as 'For Trump' and 'For Trump's Ear' on their artillery shells. Photos of these inscriptions are circulating online, suggesting a symbolic gesture of support for Trump amidst the ongoing conflict. The Russian army is avenging Trump on the frontline.
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New Commander Appointed • 25%
Current Commander Remains • 25%
Operation Ceased • 25%
Other • 25%
Change in Ukrainian leadership • 33%
Change in Russian leadership • 33%
No leadership changes • 33%
Putin remains in power • 25%
Putin resigns or is removed • 25%
New leadership through election • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
Vladimir Putin steps down • 25%
Vladimir Putin remains in power • 25%
New military leadership • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Change in Ukrainian leadership • 25%
Change in Russian leadership • 25%
Change in both leaderships • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
No changes • 25%
Minor changes • 25%
Major changes • 25%
Complete overhaul • 25%
Defense Minister replaced • 25%
Chief of General Staff replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
No change • 25%
Sergei Shoigu replaced • 25%
Valery Gerasimov replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
Neither replaced • 25%
Defense Minister replaced • 25%
Chief of General Staff replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
Neither replaced • 25%
Major leadership changes • 25%
Minor leadership changes • 25%
No leadership changes • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%
Russian military leadership changes • 25%
Ukrainian military leadership changes • 25%
Both Russian and Ukrainian leadership changes • 25%
No leadership changes • 25%
Change in Russian leadership • 33%
Change in Ukrainian leadership • 33%
No change in leadership • 33%