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What will be the public opinion on Luigi Mangione's guilt by end of 2025?
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Luigi Mangione•Ivy League•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Mangione•Maryland•Thomas Dickey•Pennsylvania
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority believe guilty • 25%
Majority believe not guilty • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
Majority undecided • 25%
Public opinion polls and surveys
Story
Luigi Mangione Charged with Murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Using 3D-Printed Ghost Gun
Dec 12, 2024, 01:31 AM
Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old Ivy League graduate, has been arrested and charged with the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. Evidence linking Mangione to the crime includes fingerprints found on a water bottle and a chocolate bar near the crime scene, as well as shell casings matching those from the 3D-printed ghost gun found on him. Mangione, who comes from a wealthy Maryland family involved in healthcare and country clubs, allegedly planned the assassination, preferring a targeted shooting over a bomb to avoid harming innocent bystanders. His defense attorney, Thomas Dickey, has begun representing him in Pennsylvania, where Mangione faces gun charges. The case has drawn significant public attention, with an online fundraiser for Mangione's legal defense receiving over a thousand donations.
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Similar markets
Outrage • 25%
Support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Acquitted of all murder charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
Other charges • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
