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What will be the projected completion year for the Yarlung Zangbo mega dam?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
2028 • 25%
2030 • 25%
2032 • 25%
2035 or later • 25%
Official project timeline updates from the Chinese government or credible news reports
Story
China Approves Mega Dam on Yarlung Zangbo River in Tibet, Aiming for Power Output Three Times That of Three Gorges
Dec 25, 2024, 03:33 PM
China has approved the construction of a mega dam on the Yarlung Zangbo River in Tibet, which is projected to generate three times more power than the Three Gorges Dam. The project, expected to produce nearly 300 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, will be built in one of the rainiest parts of mainland China. The Yarlung Zangbo River, known as the Brahmaputra in India, flows through the deepest canyon on Earth, presenting significant engineering challenges. The total investment for the dam could exceed 1 trillion yuan, marking it as one of the largest infrastructure projects globally.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Completed • 25%
More than 50% complete • 25%
Less than 50% complete • 25%
Not started • 25%
Operational by 2027 • 25%
Operational by 2028 • 25%
Operational by 2029 • 25%
Operational by 2030 or later • 25%
0-25% • 25%
26-50% • 25%
51-75% • 25%
76-100% • 25%
100 billion kWh • 25%
150 billion kWh • 25%
200 billion kWh • 25%
300 billion kWh • 25%
Chinese government • 25%
International loans • 25%
Private Chinese companies • 25%
Other • 25%
Major increase (>50% of regional needs) • 25%
Moderate increase (25-50% of regional needs) • 25%
Minor increase (<25% of regional needs) • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Environmental protest • 25%
Geopolitical tension with India • 25%
Geopolitical tension with Bangladesh • 25%
No major incident • 25%