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Market
What will be the primary reason for reimplementation of Title 42 according to Trump administration by July 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Public Health • 25%
National Security • 25%
Immigration Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements or press releases from the Trump administration or U.S. Department of Homeland Security
Story
Trump Advisers Seek Disease to Justify U.S.-Mexico Border Closure Using Title 42, Led by Stephen Miller
Jan 9, 2025, 10:43 PM
President-elect Donald J. Trump's advisers are reportedly searching for a disease to justify closing the U.S.-Mexico border. They have spent months considering various diseases, including tuberculosis and other respiratory illnesses, to build their case for reimplementing Title 42, a public health measure previously used during the COVID-19 pandemic to restrict migrant entry. The Trump team has been consulting with Border Patrol officials to identify illnesses among migrants at the border. This effort is part of a broader plan to crack down on immigration, led by Stephen Miller, Trump's pick for deputy chief of staff.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
National security • 25%
Health concerns • 25%
Economic reasons • 25%
Tuberculosis • 25%
Other • 25%
COVID-19 • 25%
Influenza • 25%
Community reporting • 25%
Artificial intelligence • 25%
Local law enforcement • 25%
Federal agencies • 25%
Operational enhancements • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Policy unchanged • 25%
Policy ended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy modified • 25%