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What will be the primary reason cited by Trump administration for U.S.-Mexico border closure by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Health concerns • 25%
National security • 25%
Economic reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or policy documents from the U.S. government
Story
Trump Advisers Explore Diseases for Border Closure Justification, Including Tuberculosis and Title 42 Strategy After Months of Research
Jan 9, 2025, 10:30 PM
Advisers to President-elect Donald Trump are reportedly exploring various diseases to justify the closure of the U.S.-Mexico border. According to multiple sources, they have been searching for the right disease for several months. Specific diseases under consideration include tuberculosis and other respiratory illnesses. The advisers have also reached out to Border Patrol allies for examples of illnesses currently detected among migrants. This initiative appears to be a strategic move to leverage health concerns in support of border closure policies, reminiscent of the use of Title 42 during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Similar markets
Public Health • 25%
Other • 25%
Immigration Control • 25%
National Security • 25%
Family detention centers • 25%
Military involvement in deportations • 25%
Other immigration policies • 25%
Workplace raids • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Humanitarian Crisis • 25%
Illegal Immigration • 25%
Drug Cartels • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tuberculosis • 25%
Other • 25%
Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) • 25%
Influenza • 25%
Terrorist attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic political opposition • 25%
Foreign interference • 25%
Border wall construction • 25%
Increased detention facilities • 25%
Enhanced border patrol enforcement • 25%
Mass deportations • 25%