Loading...
Market
What will be the primary charge Luigi Mangione is convicted of by end of 2025?
3
Luigi Mangione•Manhattan•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Midtown Manhattan•Thompson•Mangione•New Jersey•Pennsylvania•New York•Alvin Bragg
Resolution / Starting Odds
First-degree murder • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Court verdicts or official announcements
Story
Luigi Mangione Indicted on 11 Charges Including Terrorism for Murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO
Dec 17, 2024, 08:57 PM
Luigi Mangione, 26, has been indicted by a Manhattan grand jury on a total of 11 charges related to the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. The charges include one count of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism, two counts of second-degree murder, one of which is also charged as an act of terrorism, and multiple counts of criminal possession of a weapon and a forged instrument. The incident occurred on December 4 outside a Midtown Manhattan hotel where Thompson was heading to an investors conference. Mangione, who used a 3D-printed ghost gun and a fake New Jersey ID, is currently in custody in Pennsylvania on related charges and is expected to waive extradition to New York during his extradition hearing on Thursday. The Manhattan District Attorney, Alvin Bragg, described the killing as a 'frightening, well-planned, targeted murder' intended to cause shock and intimidation. If convicted, Mangione faces a maximum penalty of life without parole.
View original story
Similar markets
Second-degree murder • 25%
Criminal possession of a weapon • 25%
Possession of a forged document • 25%
Not convicted of any charges • 25%
Murder • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Conspiracy • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
0 charges • 25%
1-3 charges • 25%
4-7 charges • 25%
8 or more charges • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
Firearms offense • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Criminal possession of a weapon • 25%
No conviction by this date • 25%
All charges dropped • 25%
Some charges dropped • 25%
All charges upheld • 25%
Additional charges filed • 25%
Death penalty • 25%
Life imprisonment without parole • 25%
Life imprisonment with parole • 25%
Other sentence • 25%
Murder • 25%
Weapons possession • 25%
Forgery • 25%
Not convicted • 25%
First-degree murder • 25%
Second-degree murder • 25%
Manslaughter • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Convicted on All Charges • 25%
Convicted on Some Charges • 25%
Acquitted on All Charges • 25%
Mistrial/Other Outcome • 25%