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What will be the primary cause cited for any further cost increases in the Sentinel ICBM program by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Inflation • 25%
Supply chain issues • 25%
Technical challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Official reports or statements from the US Air Force or Department of Defense
Story
US Air Force's Sentinel ICBM Program Costs Surge to $141 Billion, 81% Increase
Jul 5, 2024, 09:45 PM
The cost of the US Air Force's new Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) program has significantly increased. Initially estimated at $78 billion, the program is now projected to cost $141 billion, an 81% rise over the forecast four years ago, according to an official. Some sources suggest the costs could soar to around $160 billion. The cost per missile has also escalated to $214 million.
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Similar markets
Flawed initial estimates • 25%
Inflation and economic factors • 25%
Technical challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-20% • 25%
21-40% • 25%
41-60% • 25%
61% or more • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than $150 billion • 25%
$150 billion to $160 billion • 25%
$160 billion to $170 billion • 25%
More than $170 billion • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0 delays • 25%
1 delay • 25%
2 delays • 25%
3 or more delays • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Initial testing phase • 25%
Midway testing phase • 25%
Final testing phase • 25%
Operational deployment • 25%
Continue without changes • 25%
Implement cost-cutting measures • 25%
Delay the program • 25%
Cancel the program • 25%