Loading...
Market
What will be the political landscape in Bolivia by end of 2024?
5
Evo Morales•Luis Arce•Venezuela•Hugo Chavez•Morales•Arce•Lucho Arce•Argentine•Javier Milei•Bolivia•Argentina
Resolution / Starting Odds
Arce consolidates power • 33%
New political alliances form • 33%
Increased political fragmentation • 33%
Official Bolivian government announcements, verified news sources
Story
Bolivia Summons Argentine Ambassador Over Luis Arce 'Self-Coup' Claims, Javier Milei Denounces
Jul 1, 2024, 03:07 PM
Bolivian political tensions have escalated following claims by former President Evo Morales that current President Luis Arce orchestrated a 'self-coup' similar to the 2002 Venezuela incident involving Hugo Chavez. Morales argues that the coup was not a genuine military takeover but rather a maneuver by Arce to consolidate power amid internal disputes and infighting with his former ally Lucho Arce. The Argentine government, led by President Javier Milei, has denounced the coup as 'fake' and 'fraudulent,' prompting Bolivia to summon the Argentine ambassador for a reprimand. The incident has strained relations between the two countries, with Bolivia rejecting Argentina's statements as 'unfriendly.'
View original story
Similar markets
Luis Arce's government • 33%
General Juan José Zuñiga's military junta • 33%
Another faction • 33%
President Arce remains in power • 33%
General Zuñiga takes control • 33%
New elections announced • 34%
Increased security measures • 25%
Political reforms initiated • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
MAS party leadership change • 25%
Strengthened position • 25%
Weakened position • 25%
Forced to resign • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Morales gains more influence • 25%
Arce consolidates power • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Majority support Morales • 25%
Majority against Morales • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
International arrest request • 25%
Local trial in absentia • 25%
No further action • 25%
Charges modified • 25%
Military intervention • 33%
Diplomatic intervention • 33%
No intervention • 33%
Strike ends with government concession • 33%
Strike ends without concession • 33%
Strike continues • 33%