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Bolivia and Argentina normalize diplomatic relations by end of 2024?
5
Evo Morales•Luis Arce•Venezuela•Hugo Chavez•Morales•Arce•Lucho Arce•Argentine•Javier Milei•Bolivia•Argentina
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government statements, diplomatic announcements, verified news sources
Story
Bolivia Summons Argentine Ambassador Over Luis Arce 'Self-Coup' Claims, Javier Milei Denounces
Jul 1, 2024, 03:07 PM
Bolivian political tensions have escalated following claims by former President Evo Morales that current President Luis Arce orchestrated a 'self-coup' similar to the 2002 Venezuela incident involving Hugo Chavez. Morales argues that the coup was not a genuine military takeover but rather a maneuver by Arce to consolidate power amid internal disputes and infighting with his former ally Lucho Arce. The Argentine government, led by President Javier Milei, has denounced the coup as 'fake' and 'fraudulent,' prompting Bolivia to summon the Argentine ambassador for a reprimand. The incident has strained relations between the two countries, with Bolivia rejecting Argentina's statements as 'unfriendly.'
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Relations remain severed • 25%
Relations are restored • 25%
Partial restoration of relations • 25%
No official change • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Deteriorated ties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Seek mediation from a third country • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Argentina • 25%
Expel more diplomats from other countries • 25%
Other • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Brazil • 25%
Argentina • 25%
Chile • 25%
Other • 25%