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What will be the political consequence for Benjamin Netanyahu related to the October 7 attack by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Resignation • 25%
No-confidence vote • 25%
Continues as Prime Minister • 25%
Other • 25%
Knesset records and major news outlets
Story
Netanyahu's Coalition, Knesset Reject Inquiry into October 7 Attack
Jul 17, 2024, 06:00 PM
Israel's coalition members have voted down an opposition measure to establish a public inquiry into the October 7 attack. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government coalition thwarted the proposal to form an official investigative committee into the events of October 7. Netanyahu has rejected calls for an immediate inquiry into the security failures of that day. The bill proposal aimed to create a National Committee of Investigation to examine the events leading up to the October 7 Hamas massacre was also struck down by Israel's governing coalition. The decision was reported by Israeli Channel 13 and confirmed by the Knesset.
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Increased political support • 25%
Decreased political support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Resignation or removal from office • 25%
Remains Prime Minister • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ousted by no-confidence vote • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains Prime Minister • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ousted by no-confidence vote • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase in approval • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in approval • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Netanyahu agrees to ceasefire • 25%
Netanyahu faces formal inquiry • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Remains as Prime Minister • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ousted by a vote of no confidence • 25%
Calls for early elections • 25%
Military action against Hezbollah • 25%
Diplomatic measures against Iran • 25%
Increased security measures in Israel • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Remains PM • 25%
Steps down voluntarily • 25%
Removed by legal means • 25%
Elected to a different role • 25%
Netanyahu remains as Prime Minister • 25%
Netanyahu steps down • 25%
Netanyahu is ousted • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Netanyahu remains PM with no significant changes • 33%
Netanyahu faces increased political opposition but remains PM • 33%
Netanyahu is forced to resign or is removed from office • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Strengthens Netanyahu's party • 25%
Weakens Netanyahu's party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to coalition changes • 25%