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Political consequences for Netanyahu due to submarine case by end of 2024
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Netanyahu remains PM with no significant changes • 33%
Netanyahu faces increased political opposition but remains PM • 33%
Netanyahu is forced to resign or is removed from office • 33%
Major news organizations and official announcements
Story
Israeli Commission Warns Netanyahu Over Submarine Corruption Case
Jun 24, 2024, 11:39 AM
An Israeli state commission of inquiry investigating suspected wrongdoing in government purchases of submarines and missile boats from Germany issued a warning to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday. The inquiry, which has been dubbed the 'submarine affair,' has accused Netanyahu of endangering national security. The commission's findings have led to significant criticism, with opposition leader Yair Lapid stating that the corruption case proves Netanyahu is a danger to Israel's security.
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Resignation • 25%
No-confidence vote • 25%
Continues as Prime Minister • 25%
Other • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted in all cases • 25%
Convicted in some cases • 25%
Acquitted in all cases • 25%
Mistrial or retrial • 25%
Strengthens Netanyahu's party • 25%
Weakens Netanyahu's party • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to coalition changes • 25%
Remains Prime Minister • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Ousted by no-confidence vote • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Netanyahu agrees to ceasefire • 25%
Netanyahu faces formal inquiry • 25%
Netanyahu resigns • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Case closed without action • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Convicted of bribery • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Resigns as Prime Minister • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Loses re-election • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased political support • 25%
Decreased political support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Resignation or removal from office • 25%