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What will be the partisan alignment during the Senate vote on the Equal Representation Act in 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
All Republican Yes, All Democrat No • 33%
Bipartisan Support • 33%
Bipartisan Opposition • 33%
Official Senate voting records
Story
House Passes Bill to Add Citizenship Question to 2030 Census, Exclude Noncitizens, 206-202
May 8, 2024, 11:39 PM
The U.S. House of Representatives has passed the Equal Representation Act, which mandates the inclusion of a citizenship question in the U.S. Census beginning in 2030 and excludes noncitizens from population counts used for congressional district apportionment and the Electoral College. The bill, which passed with a narrow margin of 206-202, aims to ensure that only U.S. citizens are represented in Congress and has sparked significant debate among lawmakers, with opponents labeling it a harmful partisan bill. Despite its passage in the House, the bill is not expected to pass in the Democratic-led Senate.
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Bill Passed • 25%
Bill Rejected • 25%
Bill Amended • 25%
Bill Postponed • 25%
Support • 33%
Opposition • 33%
Neutral/No Comment • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mostly Favorable • 33%
Mostly Unfavorable • 33%
Mixed/Neutral • 33%
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
No clear majority • 34%
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
Split Senate • 34%
Unified behind Mike Johnson • 33%
Divided with no clear leadership • 33%
Shift towards a new leader • 34%
Democrats gain seats • 33%
Republicans gain seats • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Passed unanimously • 25%
Passed with opposition • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Stalled or no vote • 25%
Continues to caucus with Democrats • 33%
Switches to Republican caucus • 33%
Becomes an independent without caucus alignment • 34%