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What will be the political alignment of Republicans in the House by end of 2024?
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Democratic•House•Mike Johnson•Republicans•Hakeem Jeffries•Johnson•Marjorie Taylor Greene•Congress•Republican Party•Ted Cruz•Greene
Resolution / Starting Odds
Unified behind Mike Johnson • 33%
Divided with no clear leadership • 33%
Shift towards a new leader • 34%
Major news outlets and political analyst reports
Story
Democrats, Led by Hakeem Jeffries, Back Speaker Mike Johnson Against GOP Ouster Efforts
May 4, 2024, 05:05 PM
In a significant political development, every member of the Democratic leadership has pledged to oppose the motion to vacate against House Speaker Mike Johnson, effectively supporting him against efforts led by some Republicans to oust him. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries announced the Democratic stance, which comes as Johnson faces criticism from within his own party, notably from Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene. Johnson, claiming to be the most conservative speaker ever, has expressed his determination to remain in his role despite the challenges and aims to defy his critics in the next Congress. The controversy has sparked a broader debate about the direction and leadership within the Republican Party, with figures like Senator Ted Cruz criticizing Greene's efforts as 'silly' and counterproductive.
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Similar markets
Republican majority • 33%
Democratic majority • 33%
No clear majority • 34%
Continues to caucus with Democrats • 33%
Switches to Republican caucus • 33%
Becomes an independent without caucus alignment • 34%
Trump gains full support • 33%
Party remains divided • 33%
Anti-Trump faction prevails • 33%
Resolution/Compromise • 33%
Continued conflict with no resolution • 33%
Significant escalation (e.g., impeachment proceedings) • 34%
Structural changes in leadership • 25%
Public reconciliation efforts • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased disciplinary actions • 25%
No action taken • 33%
Formal censure or reprimand • 33%
Resignation or removal from office • 33%
Controlled by Democrats • 50%
Controlled by Republicans • 50%