Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Yuanjun Tang's trial by August 21, 2025?
3
New York•Yuanjun Tang•Chinese•Tang•China Civil Liberties Union•China•Ministry of State Security•Department of Justice•FBI•1989 Tiananmen Square protests
Resolution / Starting Odds
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Court records and official statements from the Department of Justice
Story
Yuanjun Tang Arrested August 21, Charged as Chinese Agent by DOJ
Aug 21, 2024, 10:17 PM
Federal prosecutors in New York have filed criminal charges against Yuanjun Tang, a naturalized U.S. citizen, accusing him of acting as an illegal agent for the Chinese government. Tang, a former Chinese citizen and vice-chairman of the China Civil Liberties Union, is alleged to have covertly worked for China's Ministry of State Security, spying on pro-democracy activist groups. The Department of Justice stated that Tang was arrested on August 21 and charged with acting and conspiring to act as an unregistered agent of China, as well as making materially false statements to the FBI. Tang was a participant in the 1989 Tiananmen Square protests.
View original story
Similar markets
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Less than 5 years • 25%
5 to 10 years • 25%
10 to 20 years • 25%
More than 20 years • 25%
Strong Condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic Retaliation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to prison • 25%
Convicted with suspended sentence • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty Plea • 25%
Not Guilty Plea • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 33%
Convicted of some charges • 34%
Acquitted of all charges • 33%
Sentence upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Sentence increased • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty plea • 25%
Not guilty plea • 25%
Case dismissal • 25%
Trial scheduled • 25%