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What will be the outcome of Victoria Nuland's admission by December 31, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nuland faces no consequences • 25%
Nuland resigns • 25%
Nuland is reassigned • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements, major news outlets
Story
Victoria Nuland Admits U.S. Advised Ukraine to Reject Peace Deal, Demilitarization with Russia
Sep 9, 2024, 04:36 AM
Victoria Nuland, a U.S. diplomat, has admitted that the United States, along with the UK and other Western governments, advised the Ukrainian government to reject a peace deal with Russia that was close to being finalized in March 2022. The deal would have required Ukraine to agree to limits on the weapons it could purchase and to be demilitarized. This intervention led to the breakdown of the talks. Critics argue that this decision has resulted in prolonged conflict, significant loss of life, and territorial losses for Ukraine.
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Unsuccessful diplomatic efforts by U.S. • 25%
Mediation by third-party country • 25%
No significant diplomatic efforts • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Shooting deemed justified • 25%
Shooting deemed unjustified • 25%
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No legal action taken • 25%
Legal action taken against stepfather only • 25%
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Álvaro García Ortiz cleared of charges • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues without resolution • 25%
Grenell is replaced or resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
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Survives with minor injuries • 25%
Does not survive • 25%
Condition remains critical • 25%
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Settlement reached • 25%
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Ukraine confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
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